Oscar Predictions: Best Actress: Does Andrea Riseborough’s ‘To Leslie’ Nomination Change the Actors’ Campaign?

Variety The Awards Circuit section is home to all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring: the official predictions for the upcoming oscar, emmy awards, grammy Y tonio awards ceremony, curated by Variety Awards Senior Editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages are Davis’ assessment of the current career standings and do not reflect personal preference for any movie or performance. Like any organization or body that votes, each individual category is fluid and subject to change. The predictions are updated every Thursday.

LAST UPDATE: January 24, 2023

Oscars 2023 Predictions: Best Actress

category comment: The biggest surprise of the Oscar nominations was undoubtedly English star Andrea Riseborough for her role as a Texas lottery-winning single mother in Michael Morris’s drama “To Leslie” from independent distributor Momentum Pictures. The grassroots campaign was launched on top of the Oscar voting, where leading members of the acting industry, including Amy Adams, Edward Norton, Charlize Theron and Kate Winslet, organized screenings. Riseborough has earned much respect from the Hollywood community and moviegoers alike, with roles in past winning films like “Birdman” (2014). Her inclusion is worth celebrating and will likely inspire future campaigns from actors whose studios don’t have the financial wherewithal to mount awards campaigns for their performers.

Will this give many other underappreciated players hope to move on?

See the latest movie predictions, across all 23 categories, in one place at variety Oscars Collective. To view the ranked predictions for each individual category, visit variety Oscars Center.

Watch the Calendar Season Awards 2022-2023 for all key dates and deadlines.

ALL AWARDS CONTESTANTS AND RANKINGS:

And the expected nominees are:
Range Name Movie Distributor
one michelle yeoh “Everything everywhere, all at once” A24
An elderly Chinese immigrant is thrown into a crazy adventure, where she alone can save the world by exploring other universes that connect to the lives she could have led.
2 cate blanchett “Tar” Focus functions
Set in the international world of classical music, the film centers on Lydia Tár. she is widely considered one of the greatest living composer/conductors and the first female principal conductor of a major German orchestra.
3 Andrea Riseborough “To Leslie” impulse images
Inspired by real events. A single mom from West Texas wins the lottery and blows it just as quickly, leaving behind a world of heartbreak. Years later, when her charm wears thin and she has nowhere to go, she struggles to rebuild her life and find redemption.
4 michelle williams “The Fabelmans” universal images
A semi-autobiography based on Spielberg’s own childhood growing up in post-war Arizona, from the age of seven to eighteen.
5 Anne of Arms “Blond” Netflix
A fictional chronicle of the inner life of Marilyn Monroe.

Academy Awards 2023 Predictions

BEST PHOTOGRAPHY | DIRECTOR | ACTRESS | ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCRIPT | ADAPTED SCRIPT | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SHEET | ORIGINAL SONG | LENGTH DOCUMENTARY | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT FILM

The 95th Academy Awards will take place at the Dolby Theater and will be televised live on ABC on Sunday, March 12, 2022.

category winner 2022: Jessica Chastain, “The Eyes of Tammy Faye” (Searchlight Pictures)

About Variety Prize circuit:

variety Unmatched Coverage Gives your readers unmatched exposure in print and online and provides insider reports on all the contenders in this year’s award season races. In addition to predictions, the section includes — The Awards Circuit Column, a weekly analysis that dissects the trends and contenders in the race; Awards Circuit Podcast, a weekly series featuring interviews with the top contenders in the awards race and an expert roundtable with variety prominent editors and columnists; Awards Circuit Predictions video series, a deep dive into specific categories, led by the leading experts.

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